Difference between revisions of "Backcasting"

From Coastal Wiki
Jump to: navigation, search
(Source)
(Source)
 
Line 13: Line 13:
 
<ol start="2"> <li > [http://www.dse.vic.gov.au/effective-engagement/toolkit/tool-backcasting To deepen your knowledge on backcasting: Quist J,, Vergragt P. Past and future of backcasting: The shift to stakeholder participation and a proposal for a methodological frameworkFutures 38 (2006) 1027–1045.]</li>
 
<ol start="2"> <li > [http://www.dse.vic.gov.au/effective-engagement/toolkit/tool-backcasting To deepen your knowledge on backcasting: Quist J,, Vergragt P. Past and future of backcasting: The shift to stakeholder participation and a proposal for a methodological frameworkFutures 38 (2006) 1027–1045.]</li>
 
</ol>
 
</ol>
 +
[[Category:PEGASO participation methods]]
 +
{{Authorpegaso
 +
|AuthorID1=7996
 +
|AuthorID2=8387
 +
|AuthorID3=7295
 +
|Author1FullName=UNIVE team
 +
|Author2FullName=Plan Bleu
 +
|Author3FullName=PAP/RAC
 +
}}

Latest revision as of 13:54, 13 March 2013

Objectives

Backcasting allows a group of people to weigh up the implications of different future options or policy goals.

Method

  1. Define future goals and objectives, projecting 25-50 years into the future.
  2. Specify the scenario by analysing the technological and physical characteristics of a path that would lead towards the specified goals.
  3. Evaluate the scenario in terms of physical, technological and socio-economic feasibility and policy implications.
  4. Brainstorm ways this desired end-point can be achieved, working backwards to the present.

Example

Guadalentı´n (Spain) and the Vald’Agri (Italy) workshops about the developing of local scenarios [1].

Source

  1. To deepen your knowledge on backcasting: Quist J,, Vergragt P. Past and future of backcasting: The shift to stakeholder participation and a proposal for a methodological frameworkFutures 38 (2006) 1027–1045.
The author of this article is UNIVE team
The article has been reviewed by Plan Bleu and PAP/RAC
Please note that others may also have edited the contents of this article.